Sawv Thiab Xav Txog Xinjiang Paj Rwb

Sawv thiab xav txog Xinjiang Paj Rwb

Kuv tau ua haujlwm hauv kev lag luam paj rwb ntau tshaj 20 xyoo thiab tsis tau tawm hauv kev lag luam paj rwb. Kuv tus kheej tau ntsib ntau qhov kev nce thiab nqis hauv kev lag luam paj rwb thiab kev lag luam hloov pauv. Ua raws li keeb kwm hloov pauv ntawm kev lag luam paj rwb hauv Xinjiang, kuv tuaj yeem tau txais qee qhov kev tshoov siab rau kev noj qab haus huv ntawm kev lag luam.

In the early 1990s, cotton growers in Xinjiang were very hard-working. At that time, the degree of agricultural mechanization was low. Due to the limitation of labor, a family could not grow a few mu of cotton, and the yield per unit of cotton was also low. The cotton processing plants of the hemp companies are the main ones. During the purchasing season, there will be a queue of cotton sales that can't be seen at the gate of the cotton processing factory. It is not easy for farmers to complete the sale on the same day. The cotton buyer is relatively in an advantageous position, and the production efficiency is very considerable. There is also the problem of "difficulty in selling cotton" for cotton farmers.

Nyob rau xyoo 1990s, cov paj rwb lag luam tau maj mam liberalized, thiab cov lag luam paj rwb ntiag tug sawv cev los ntawm Zhejiang cov tub lag luam tau tshwm sim hauv thaj av loj ntawm Xinjiang, txhaj tshuaj muaj zog thiab muaj txiaj ntsig rau hauv kev loj hlob ntawm Xinjiang paj rwb lag luam. Lawv muaj lub siab xav ua lag luam thiab muaj kev ncaj ncees thiab ntseeg tau. , saj zawg zog ua lag luam qauv, adventurous ntsuj plig, kev loj hlob sai thiab nthuav, nyob rau hauv ib tug poob swoop tsim lub keeb kwm txoj hauj lwm ntawm Zhejiang private lag luam nyob rau hauv Xinjiang paj rwb kev lag luam.

Nyob rau hauv cov txheej txheem keeb kwm ntawm paj rwb txoj kev loj hlob, muaj ob xyoos uas tseem tshiab nyob rau hauv peb lub cim xeeb. Nyob rau hauv 2003, cov noob paj rwb tau sau, thiab qhov chaw tus nqi ntawm lint tau nce sai heev. Tus nqi siab tshaj yog kwv yees li 19, 000 yuan/ton. Hoarding, lub mainland textile lag luam yws. Tom qab ntawd, lub xeev tau nce qhov kev xa tawm ntawm cov paj rwb quotas tuaj txawv teb chaws, thiab tom qab ntawd tus nqi ntawm qhov chaw poob qis, uas nws thiaj li ua rau poob hnyav rau qee lub tuam txhab paj rwb loj uas khaws cia ntau yam khoom. Lwm xyoo yog 2010. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm mus sau, tus nqi ntawm lint ib zaug soared mus rau ib tug keeb kwm siab nqi ntawm ntau tshaj 33, 000 yuan / ton, thiab sai sai tig downward. Cov tuam txhab paj rwb thiab cov tuam txhab textile downstream uas tsis muag hauv lub sijhawm raug kev puas tsuaj. Kev lag luam ib zaug tau ntsib Big shuffle. Tom qab ntawd, lub teb chaws tau tshaj tawm qhov loj tshaj plaws nruam kev yuav thiab cia txoj cai los txhawb kev ua lag luam, uas ruaj khov qhov xwm txheej thiab ua tiav qhov muag muag ntawm tus nqi. Tom qab ntawd, kev lag luam kev lag luam tuaj yeem rov zoo dua, tab sis cov khoom muag loj kuj ua rau kev lag luam nkag mus rau lub voj voog ntev destocking, thiab cov paj rwb tus nqi tseem nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev.

Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, kev siv lub hom phiaj tus nqi ncaj qha nyiaj pab txoj cai tau zoo tshaj plaws kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg ntawm cov paj rwb cog hauv Xinjiang, thiab cov paj rwb tawm hauv Xinjiang tau khaws cia nyob ib ncig ntawm 5 lab tons rau lub sijhawm ntev. Nyob ib ncig ntawm 2015, nrog rau kev txhim kho ntawm kev ua liaj ua teb mechanization, loj - kev txhawb nqa ntawm lub tshuab- cov qauv sau qoob loo, cov neeg ua haujlwm tau muaj kev ywj pheej zoo heev, thaj av tau maj mam sib koom ua ke thiab tsom mus rau cov neeg ua haujlwm loj hauv tsev neeg. paub cog, qhov zoo ntawm loj- nplai cog maj mam tshwm sim, thiab paj rwb tawm los thiab tag nrho cov zis tau txhim kho ntxiv. txhawb. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, tus naj npawb ntawm cov paj rwb lag luam hauv Xinjiang tau nce ntxiv. Raws li kev txheeb cais tsis tiav, los ntawm 2018 txog 2020, muaj ntau dua 100 tshiab - tsim cov paj rwb ua cov kab ntau lawm hauv Xinjiang, ntawm qhov kev nce nyob rau sab qaum teb Xinjiang kuj loj heev. Txhawm rau hloov kho kom haum rau cov yam ntxwv ntawm kev siv tshuab- khaws cov paj rwb ntawm lub khw, lub peev xwm tsim khoom ntawm cov khoom tsim tshiab tshiab no tau txhim kho zoo heev. , qhov kev thov rau raw cov ntaub ntawv kuj muaj zog heev.

In the first half of 2021, the domestic new crown epidemic was well controlled, a large number of textile orders returned, and Xinjiang encountered extreme weather during cotton planting. The market's expectation of a decline in cotton production was superimposed on the world's major economies with over-issued currencies and high inflation. The above factors are common. The role of the two years of cotton robbing war to a climax, the price of cotton purchase cost is generally as high as 23,000-24,000 yuan / ton. Relevant state departments have issued risk warnings and put cotton reserves on many occasions, but at this time, cotton companies have fallen into involution and cannot extricate themselves. Even if the purchase cost and the spot price are inverted by 2,000 yuan, they cannot stop the enthusiasm for panic buying.

It may be difficult for many people to understand this choice of cotton companies. I have had the same experience. It takes more than half a year to prepare various preparations (funds, personnel and various trainings, facilities and equipment maintenance, etc.), to the acquisition of gold I dare not participate in the season, but I see other companies doing it in full swing. The time to market for machine-picked cotton is very concentrated, and the period of hesitation left for you is fleeting. The feeling of depression and anxiety as a business manager cannot be truly understood by others. There is still a chance to participate in the rush to bet on the market outlook. It is better to do something wrong and not miss it. It is a helpless choice for most companies. In the "prisoner's dilemma", the rationality of the individual sometimes leads to the irrationality of the collective. At present, cotton sales in Xinjiang are difficult, and enterprises generally suffer losses.

Nyob rau hauv cov chav kawm ntawm ntau qhov kev mus ntsib thiab kev tshawb nrhiav, peb tau pom tias qee lub tuam txhab textile muaj nyob rau hauv - kev koom tes tob nrog cov tuam txhab ua paj rwb kom ruaj khov rau cov khoom siv raw, thiab txawm tias tsim cov khoom siv raw khoom ruaj khov los ntawm kev sib xyaw av , txuas ntxiv rau kev lag luam saw. Los ntawm kev sib koom ua ke thiab kev tswj xyuas, qhov zoo sib xws thiab kev ruaj ntseg ntawm cov paj rwb raw cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm qhov chaw cog rau kev tsim khoom tau raug txhim kho, thiab muaj peev xwm zom cov kev pheej hmoo ntawm tus nqi hloov pauv tau ntxiv dag zog los ntawm kev qhia cov txuj ci thiab kev siv ntau yam cuab yeej. .

Los ntawm cov xwm txheej keeb kwm no, txhua lub sijhawm kev lag luam tag nrho yog qhov teeb meem, ntawm ib sab, nws xav tau cov kev taw qhia meej thiab kev txhawb nqa ntawm lub teb chaws txoj cai, thiab tib lub sijhawm, nws tseem xav kom tag nrho cov kev lag luam ua tib zoo xav, sau cov ntsiab lus. lawv, thiab rho tawm cov tswv yim zoo uas muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau yav tom ntej txoj kev loj hlob ntawm paj rwb.